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What These Ratios Tell Us About Direct Line Insurance Group PLC

The latest figures from Direct Line Insurance Group PLC (LON:DLG) suggest that now could be a good time to invest, says Roland Head.

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Before I decide whether to buy a company’s shares, I always like to look at its return on equity.

This key ratio provide an indication of how successful a company is at generating profits using shareholders’ funds and can have a strong influence on dividend payments and share price growth.

XXX

Today, I’m going to take a look at Royal Bank of Scotland spin-off Direct Line Insurance Group (LSE: DLG), to see how attractive it looks on these two measures.

Return on equity

The return a company generates on its shareholders’ funds is known as return on equity, or ROE. Return on equity can be calculated by dividing a company’s annual profit by its equity (ie, the difference between its total assets and its total liabilities) and is expressed as a percentage.

Although it only floated in October, Direct Line’s trading results have been made available back to 2009, enabling us to see how its performance has changed over the last few years:

Direct Line Group 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 YTD Average
ROE 8.0% -8.3% 7.3% 5.7% 8.9% 4.4%

How does Direct Line compare?

A recognised measure of an insurance company’s financial strength is its Insurance Groups Directive capital coverage ratio. This measures the amount of surplus capital held by an insurance company, in excess of its regulatory requirements.

In the table below, I’ve listed Direct Line’s IGD coverage ratio and ROE, alongside those of two of its UK peers in the car insurance sector, Aviva and RSA Insurance Group, which offers car insurance through its More Than brand.

Company IGD capital coverage ratio 2009-13 average ROE
Aviva 175% 4.0%
Direct Line Group 272% 4.4%
RSA Insurance 170% 11.8%

Direct Line appears to be very well funded, but its return on equity over the last five years has been relatively lacklustre — indeed, it reported an operating loss in both 2009 and 2010, leaving it only marginally ahead of Aviva on a five-year average basis.

Is Direct Line a buy?

Direct Line’s return on equity for the last twelve months has risen to 8.9%, compared with 5.7% in 2012. The company reported a 27.8% increase in first-half operating profits and a combined ratio of 94.6%, meaning that its operating costs and claim payouts are less than its income from insurance premiums.

The group currently trades on a 2013 forecast P/E ratio of just 10.3, and offers a generous prospective yield of 5.6%, suggesting to me that it is quite attractively priced at the moment.

Overall, I rate Direct Line as a strong potential buy for income investors.

Finding market-beating returns

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> Roland owns shares in Aviva does not own shares in any of the other companies mentioned in this article.

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