We have some exciting news to share! The Motley Fool UK has now become The Twelfth Magpie -- an independent, UK-owned company, led by our long-serving UK management team — Mark Rogers, Chris Nials and Heather Adlington. In practical terms, it’s the same team you know, now fully focused on serving our UK readers and members.

Just as importantly, our approach remains unchanged: long-term, jargon-free, and on your side. This site is our new home, and there will be extra tweaks made across the coming few days as we settle in. So if anything looks a little off, please bear with us!

The content of this article was relevant at the time of publishing. Circumstances change continuously and caution should therefore be exercised when relying upon any content contained within this article.

Are Diageo plc, Unilever plc & PZ Cussons plc about to crash?

Could it be time to sell Diageo plc (LON: DGE), Unilever plc (LON: ULVR) and PZ Cussons plc (LON: PZC)?

| More on:

You’re reading a free article with opinions that may differ from The Motley Fool’s Premium Investing Services. Become a Motley Fool member today to get instant access to our top analyst recommendations, in-depth research, investing resources, and more. Learn More.

Unilever (LSE: ULVR) is one of the FTSE 100’s most expensive stocks. Indeed, the company’s shares currently trade at a forward P/E of 21.7, which is a relatively high valuation for a slow and steady company like Unilever.

Next year, City analysts are projecting earnings per share growth of 8% for the consumer goods champion indicating a PEG ratio of 2.6 -– a PEG ratio of less than one implies that the shares in question offer growth at a reasonable price. That said, when it comes to yield Unilever’s forward dividend yield of 3.1% is only 0.7% below the FTSE 100 average of 3.8%. The payout is covered one-and-a-half-times by earnings per share.

XXX

High price, no growth 

Unilever isn’t the only FTSE 100 company that is trading at a premium valuation despite lacklustre expectations for growth. Diageo (LSE: DGE) is another culprit. Diageo’s earnings per share have fallen by around 15% since the end of the company’s 2013 financial year. City analysts expect the company to report a further 1% decline in earnings this year. 

Still, despite Diageo’s shrinking income the company’s shares currently trade at a forward P/E of 21.1. Analysts have pencilled in earnings per share growth of 8% for the year ending 30 June 2017, so on this basis, the group is trading at 2017 P/E of 19.6, which still seems relatively expensive. The shares currently support a dividend yield of 3.1%, and the payout is covered one-and-a-half-times by earnings per share.

PZ Cussons (LSE: PZC) is another consumer goods company that is trading at a high multiple despite sluggish earnings growth. City analysts expect the group’s earnings per share to fall by 6% for the year ending 31 May 2016 but despite this downbeat forecast the company’s shares are currently trading at a forward P/E of 19.6. Analysts have pencilled in estimated earnings per share growth of 3% for the year ending 31 May 2017, implying that the group is trading at a 2017 P/E of 19.2. The shares currently support a dividend yield of 2.4%, and the payout is covered 2.2 times by earnings per share.

Time to sell?

Diageo, Unilever and PZ Cussons are all currently trading at premium valuations. But are these valuations warranted?

Well, consumer goods companies are generally considered to be the most defensive investments around. In a time of great economic uncertainty, investors are often willing to pay a premium to get their hands on the shares of defensive companies. It looks as if this is the trend that is currently playing out at Diageo, Unilever and PZ Cussons. Investors have been clamouring to get their hands on the shares of these companies at any price and it’s likely that this trend will continue. 

Overall, it looks as if the time being these companies aren’t about to see their share prices collapse. But if there is any change in market or economic sentiment, re-rating could be on the horizon.

Rupert Hargreaves has no position in any shares mentioned. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of and has recommended Unilever. The Motley Fool UK owns shares of PZ Cussons. The Motley Fool UK has recommended Diageo. We Fools don't all hold the same opinions, but we all believe that considering a diverse range of insights makes us better investors.

More on Investing Articles

Friends and sisters exploring the outdoors together in Cornwall. They are standing with their arms around each other at the coast.
Investing Articles

£503 buys 14 shares in this FTSE 250 stock that returned 23.9% annually for the last 15 years

This FTSE 250 stock has averaged a huge return for 15 years. At today's price, £503 buys 14 shares. But…

Read more »

Black woman using loudspeaker to be heard
Investing Articles

£1,000 buys 25 shares in this FTSE 100 stock that’s returned 29.2% annually for the last 10 years

This FTSE 100 mining stock has returned close to 30% a year for a decade. At 3,995p, £1,000 buys 25…

Read more »

Female student sitting at the steps and using laptop
Investing Articles

Down 47%, is this growth stock finally worth buying in May?

With a £288m order book and a hidden pipeline of defence and nuclear contracts, is this growth stock now too…

Read more »

House models and one with REIT - standing for real estate investment trust - written on it.
Investing Articles

2 REITs yielding 7%+ to consider for passive income in 2026

A REIT backed by the NHS and another backed by Tesco and Sainsbury's with both yielding 7%+. Here's why I'm…

Read more »

Woman riding her old fashioned bicycle along the Beach Esplanade at Aberdeen, Scotland.
Investing Articles

Just 97 shares of this UK dividend stock generate £238 in passive income

A 5.7% yield, £238 in passive income from just 97 shares, and one of the most divisive dividend stocks on…

Read more »

ISA coins
Investing Articles

£10,000 in an ISA generates a second income of…

The London Stock Exchange is home to some of the world's most generous dividends. But how big a second income…

Read more »

Shot of a senior man drinking coffee and looking thoughtfully out of a window
Investing Articles

Expert recommendations: 2 top income stocks yielding 7%+!

With yields of 7.2% and 7.8% respectively, these two income stocks are catching the eyes of institutional analysts. Should investors…

Read more »

Illustration of flames over a black background
Investing Articles

3 top income-focused stocks to buy in May 2026, according to experts

Looking for a stock to buy for income in May 2026? Experts have flagged these three UK dividend shares as…

Read more »